The percentage of returned gadgets that have nothing wrong with them.
Of the $13.8 billion worth of returned products in 2007, only 5 percent were because gadgets were actually broken, according to a 2008 study.
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I'm old school. I've listened to optical vendors talk big dreams for over a decade and the end result is always the same. They're always late and more expensive.
So I bet you see this not shipping in quantity until 2010 and at pricing that is significantly higher that HDD and flash storage.
By 2009-2010 a 64GB flash drive is likely $80 tops. There comes a point where you really only need to carry so much data around at one time.
Companies with significant backup needs will likely continue to promote backup to HDD and archiving to tape which is the cheapest solution. I'm waiting for a justification for large optical discs.