Downloads are at least a decade away, and probably longer than that. You have a lot of barriers to downloads taking off.
First, the bandwidth isn't there. Look at what American ISPs are doing over Bittorrent already. And in some parts of the world (Australia comes to mind) you have a hard bandwidth cap which isn't very high.
Second, the compression isn't there. In order to move to downloads, the quality has to be better than BD or else we'd have no reason to switch. Until you can get 1440p video and lossless audio into about 10GB then it's not even worth discussing.
“An engineer explained to us that hundreds of ear impressions were gathered in the name of research, and while each one obviously boasted its own unique shape and size, one single characteristic remained uniform across the board: the entrance into the ear canal is not a perfect circle, it's an oval.”
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Downloads are at least a decade away, and probably longer than that. You have a lot of barriers to downloads taking off.
First, the bandwidth isn't there. Look at what American ISPs are doing over Bittorrent already. And in some parts of the world (Australia comes to mind) you have a hard bandwidth cap which isn't very high.
Second, the compression isn't there. In order to move to downloads, the quality has to be better than BD or else we'd have no reason to switch. Until you can get 1440p video and lossless audio into about 10GB then it's not even worth discussing.