this very well could be true - dvd saturation is extremely high, people have or are getting hdtv, and despite all these reports the last few months about how few stand alone units BR is selling - my store is consistently sold out of all brands... and im in a big store... so... if the inventory is going to be free-flowing, then the sales will be too.
I agree re: saturation. The small percentage of consumers buying BD players may exceed the number of consumers buying DVD players. Not because BD players are or will be more popular than DVD players, but just because everybody already has a DVD player.
The thing everyone keeps forgetting is any optical HD format is directly linked to large screen HD TV sales/volume. BR CAN NOT beat DVD until such time as the market penetration of large screen HD TVs is at least 50% of the total market and everyone of those 50% have a BR player. The "people" who keep linking BR sales to DVD sales are in Lala land, DVD wasn't handicapped by a specific type of TV it improved AV qualities on, every TV on the planet can play, and does play DVD and offers advantages in AV quality at a very cheap price,-how many tens of millions of homes must this represent, against the so far minuscule HD TV adoption world wide. Do people really think BR sales are gong to out pace HD TV sales or something??..... and please, don't tell me people are going to shell out $400 for a BR player when their DVD player dies to watch upscaled DVDs on their 24" CRTs, get real, why would they there is no benefit, hell, even laser disc plugged straight into whatever you had at the time and gave you advantages.
When HD TV adoption represents a major share of the market, and when BR is priced similarly to DVD players, J6 will replace his dead DVD player with a BR player when he has a HD TV, and not before, only then can large scale adoption can happen. IMO opinion, by then it's to late, BR can never beat DVD.
Now that we've thrown 'em off the trail, use the form below to get in touch with the people at Engadget. Please fill in all of the required fields because they're required.
this very well could be true - dvd saturation is extremely high, people have or are getting hdtv, and despite all these reports the last few months about how few stand alone units BR is selling - my store is consistently sold out of all brands... and im in a big store... so... if the inventory is going to be free-flowing, then the sales will be too.
I agree re: saturation. The small percentage of consumers buying BD players may exceed the number of consumers buying DVD players. Not because BD players are or will be more popular than DVD players, but just because everybody already has a DVD player.
The thing everyone keeps forgetting is any optical HD format is directly linked to large screen HD TV sales/volume.
BR CAN NOT beat DVD until such time as the market penetration of large screen HD TVs is at least 50% of the total market and everyone of those 50% have a BR player.
The "people" who keep linking BR sales to DVD sales are in Lala land, DVD wasn't handicapped by a specific type of TV it improved AV qualities on, every TV on the planet can play, and does play DVD and offers advantages in AV quality at a very cheap price,-how many tens of millions of homes must this represent, against the so far minuscule HD TV adoption world wide.
Do people really think BR sales are gong to out pace HD TV sales or something??..... and please, don't tell me people are going to shell out $400 for a BR player when their DVD player dies to watch upscaled DVDs on their 24" CRTs, get real, why would they there is no benefit, hell, even laser disc plugged straight into whatever you had at the time and gave you advantages.
When HD TV adoption represents a major share of the market, and when BR is priced similarly to DVD players, J6 will replace his dead DVD player with a BR player when he has a HD TV, and not before, only then can large scale adoption can happen. IMO opinion, by then it's to late, BR can never beat DVD.