The percentage of electronics at the end of their lives which were recycled.
The EPA found that the percentage remained consistent from 1999-2005. Even as recycling rates went up, the amount of electronics reaching end of life outpaced the increase, leaving the figure static. (source: EPA, July 2008)
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I have trouble with analyst predictions also. But, to give them the benefit of the doubt we have to realize that the environment for both blu-ray and the PS3 have changed in the last two years since a lot of those predictions were made. Had the world wide economy not gone in the tank who knows what would have happened?
On that note, I still expect that IFF Sony cuts the price of the PS3 to $299 this year that it will outsell the 360. That is a big if and even with that I do not think they will overtake the lifetime sales of the 360 until 2010.
As far as blu-ray goes. I see no reason that it will not sell twice this year what it did in 2008.