Regular digital TV is so last month. When is the 4K 3D TV switch coming? I like to see the TV execs' faces when they get the notice to switch all their cameras again.
Of course, it can. I'm talking about the cameras TV broadcasters use ... which was expensive for the switch. They use 1080i or 720p cameras, both of which really aren't that great. Next year, we'll be getting 4K TVs ... and 3D won't be far behind, so TV broadcast will have to make that 4K switch eventually (3D hopefully will just be an add-on to those cameras). Professional sports demand it.
Why do we need a 4k res when the biggest TV the mass consumers use is 42". Unless you have a >100" screen then you can tell the difference. It's like asking "Let's have all the movies in IMAX".
Does 1080i or 720p look just like real life yet? Then we haven't achieved the best resolution. 4K is not just more pixels, but greater depth of field, better color.
TVs will also simply not just be a TV. 4K TVs will be better for gaming. Just like on computer monitors. Gamers want higher and higher resolutions. Imagine Telepresence with family members. Imagine a live video feed of Paris, Hawaii, etc.
But for TV broadcast, imagine watching a football game in 4K, you can pause, zoom into any part of the field and see it crisp and clear. We'll know for sure if the ball was out or not. Same with nature programs, we can see any part of a rain forest shot, for example. If there is a parrot in the distance, we could zoom in and see the detail in it's feathers. For news, imagine if we had 4K cameras when JFK was shot.
We will eventually have our TVs on all of our walls. The TV material will be embedded in paint. Think at the beginning of Total Recall. It's not as far off as people think. We'll watch sports and nature shows on a whole wall.
Having 4K now is kinda ridiculous, but in less than ten years, it'll be a standard.
miko, the standards for DTV, including HDTV, were in development in the early 1980s. It took them twenty-five years to go from drawing board to where we are now. Before that, it had taken much the same period of time for the previous major change to broadcast standards (color TV) to become common.
Even if the FCC were anxious to begin again with the next phase tomorrow -- which I assure you they are not -- you're crazy if you think there's a chance in hell of seeing a new broadcast standard become reality in TWO decades, let alone one.
No, we're going to be watching 720p/1080i broadcasts for a very long time to come.
I didn't mean that the 4K standard would be with TV over air broadcasts in ten years, but people should have 4K sets in their homes by then. Since they are releasing them next year for the high price tag, in ten years time they will come down a lot in price.
This probably won't have anything to do with the FCC anyway since this probably won't be a switch via airwaves. They'll be using other ways for getting our programming (via fiber optic internet, satellite, etc.). I'm pretty sure they can shoot something in 4K and down convert to put 1080i over the air for those not wanting to pay for service. This will only happen faster with competition. If NBC decides to shoot their sports with 4K, then those sports would rather be with them than another network. The problem is how they are going to get that much information to a home when there are still people on 56K modems.
My first post was a joke, but people took it too seriously, then it went off topic on why we need 4K TVs when people are happy with their 1080p TVs and I gave them examples of what you can do with it. Heck, we might even have something totally different in ten (and a 1/2) years for broadcasting: http://www.sonyinsider.com/2008/10/06/3d-holographic-tvs-very-possible-and-will-happen-by-2020/
And again, no, I don't think over the air broadcasts will change in ten years.
Joke or not, it's an interesting assertion. Unfortunately, Andy is correct though: the forces which put HDTV in your living room were mostly not technical - the surrounding business, infrastructure and political systems are far more complex than the technology itself, and ultimately these will set the date at which you have higher definition multi-angle content streaming into your home.
Happy also makes a good point. Regardless of what the technology does, people's living rooms aren't likely to get much bigger. If the majority of people watch their movies in a 4m x 4m living room, they don't have much call for a 100 inch TV. Of course, there are still an awfully long way to go with small displays, but the call for higher resolution will eventually peter out (as it is doing with consumer camera resolution)
It took around sixty years to go from 480i being the standard to 720p and 1080i being the standards, and part of what made 720p/1080i the new standards was simply that the television industry said, in the mid eighties, that that was what they wanted to transition to.
And, despite the article's headline's implication, it's far from clear we have "transitioned" in the sense that most televisions are suddenly digital HDTVs. In fact, most televisions in use are NTSC TVs hooked up either to an analog cable source or a digital STB, so most people are still watching TV using 60 year old television standards.
At this point, there's no activity by the ITU on 4k.
Will it happen? Perhaps, but the introduction of high end televisions within the next few years, if they happen at all, isn't going to make a difference. There's no bandwidth in ATSC for the switch. There's no TV decoding equipment in common use capable of decoding such a high resolution signal. The TV companies are still in the process of replacing their 480i equipment with 720p and 1080i stuff. And there's no good reason to believe there's any demand for this, not while 50" remains a practical cut-off point for the maximum size of a television in a large room, and 25" remains a practical cut-off point for a TV in a bedroom, etc.
Remember that on the majority of high definition televisions out there at the moment, from a normal viewing angle and distance, there's only a small difference between DVD and the high definition formats. It's small enough that many people can't see it.
The upgrade to HD was worth it. Virtually everyone with an HDTV can see a benefit. ATSC HD looks gorgeous, we now have widescreen (not as wide as many of us hoped, but it's still good), and we also now have decent audio, for the first time in television history. It's far from clear that a 4K upgrade would offer the same improvement over HD that HD was over NTSC. Indeed, it's far from clear a 4K upgrade would offer the same improvement over HD that DVD (ED) is over NTSC.
“An engineer explained to us that hundreds of ear impressions were gathered in the name of research, and while each one obviously boasted its own unique shape and size, one single characteristic remained uniform across the board: the entrance into the ear canal is not a perfect circle, it's an oval.”
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Regular digital TV is so last month.
When is the 4K 3D TV switch coming?
I like to see the TV execs' faces when they get the notice to switch all their cameras again.
4K 3D can't go over digital tv?
Of course, it can.
I'm talking about the cameras TV broadcasters use ... which was expensive for the switch. They use 1080i or 720p cameras, both of which really aren't that great.
Next year, we'll be getting 4K TVs ... and 3D won't be far behind, so TV broadcast will have to make that 4K switch eventually (3D hopefully will just be an add-on to those cameras).
Professional sports demand it.
Why do we need a 4k res when the biggest TV the mass consumers use is 42". Unless you have a >100" screen then you can tell the difference. It's like asking "Let's have all the movies in IMAX".
Does 1080i or 720p look just like real life yet? Then we haven't achieved the best resolution.
4K is not just more pixels, but greater depth of field, better color.
TVs will also simply not just be a TV.
4K TVs will be better for gaming. Just like on computer monitors. Gamers want higher and higher resolutions. Imagine Telepresence with family members. Imagine a live video feed of Paris, Hawaii, etc.
But for TV broadcast, imagine watching a football game in 4K, you can pause, zoom into any part of the field and see it crisp and clear. We'll know for sure if the ball was out or not. Same with nature programs, we can see any part of a rain forest shot, for example. If there is a parrot in the distance, we could zoom in and see the detail in it's feathers. For news, imagine if we had 4K cameras when JFK was shot.
We will eventually have our TVs on all of our walls. The TV material will be embedded in paint. Think at the beginning of Total Recall. It's not as far off as people think. We'll watch sports and nature shows on a whole wall.
Having 4K now is kinda ridiculous, but in less than ten years, it'll be a standard.
miko, the standards for DTV, including HDTV, were in development in the early 1980s. It took them twenty-five years to go from drawing board to where we are now. Before that, it had taken much the same period of time for the previous major change to broadcast standards (color TV) to become common.
Even if the FCC were anxious to begin again with the next phase tomorrow -- which I assure you they are not -- you're crazy if you think there's a chance in hell of seeing a new broadcast standard become reality in TWO decades, let alone one.
No, we're going to be watching 720p/1080i broadcasts for a very long time to come.
I didn't mean that the 4K standard would be with TV over air broadcasts in ten years, but people should have 4K sets in their homes by then. Since they are releasing them next year for the high price tag, in ten years time they will come down a lot in price.
This probably won't have anything to do with the FCC anyway since this probably won't be a switch via airwaves. They'll be using other ways for getting our programming (via fiber optic internet, satellite, etc.). I'm pretty sure they can shoot something in 4K and down convert to put 1080i over the air for those not wanting to pay for service. This will only happen faster with competition. If NBC decides to shoot their sports with 4K, then those sports would rather be with them than another network. The problem is how they are going to get that much information to a home when there are still people on 56K modems.
My first post was a joke, but people took it too seriously, then it went off topic on why we need 4K TVs when people are happy with their 1080p TVs and I gave them examples of what you can do with it. Heck, we might even have something totally different in ten (and a 1/2) years for broadcasting:
http://www.sonyinsider.com/2008/10/06/3d-holographic-tvs-very-possible-and-will-happen-by-2020/
And again, no, I don't think over the air broadcasts will change in ten years.
Joke or not, it's an interesting assertion. Unfortunately, Andy is correct though: the forces which put HDTV in your living room were mostly not technical - the surrounding business, infrastructure and political systems are far more complex than the technology itself, and ultimately these will set the date at which you have higher definition multi-angle content streaming into your home.
Happy also makes a good point. Regardless of what the technology does, people's living rooms aren't likely to get much bigger. If the majority of people watch their movies in a 4m x 4m living room, they don't have much call for a 100 inch TV. Of course, there are still an awfully long way to go with small displays, but the call for higher resolution will eventually peter out (as it is doing with consumer camera resolution)
It took around sixty years to go from 480i being the standard to 720p and 1080i being the standards, and part of what made 720p/1080i the new standards was simply that the television industry said, in the mid eighties, that that was what they wanted to transition to.
And, despite the article's headline's implication, it's far from clear we have "transitioned" in the sense that most televisions are suddenly digital HDTVs. In fact, most televisions in use are NTSC TVs hooked up either to an analog cable source or a digital STB, so most people are still watching TV using 60 year old television standards.
At this point, there's no activity by the ITU on 4k.
Will it happen? Perhaps, but the introduction of high end televisions within the next few years, if they happen at all, isn't going to make a difference. There's no bandwidth in ATSC for the switch. There's no TV decoding equipment in common use capable of decoding such a high resolution signal. The TV companies are still in the process of replacing their 480i equipment with 720p and 1080i stuff. And there's no good reason to believe there's any demand for this, not while 50" remains a practical cut-off point for the maximum size of a television in a large room, and 25" remains a practical cut-off point for a TV in a bedroom, etc.
Remember that on the majority of high definition televisions out there at the moment, from a normal viewing angle and distance, there's only a small difference between DVD and the high definition formats. It's small enough that many people can't see it.
The upgrade to HD was worth it. Virtually everyone with an HDTV can see a benefit. ATSC HD looks gorgeous, we now have widescreen (not as wide as many of us hoped, but it's still good), and we also now have decent audio, for the first time in television history. It's far from clear that a 4K upgrade would offer the same improvement over HD that HD was over NTSC. Indeed, it's far from clear a 4K upgrade would offer the same improvement over HD that DVD (ED) is over NTSC.