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As for the general public, I think digital downloads are still far from the norm. Most people dont even know that you can download movies or even know how to set up a DVR to do so, and I I see Netflix and like staying around for awhile. B&M stores will slowly decline (I'm against this, b/c its the quickest way to get Blu-rays if they have it), but it wont go away for awhile since most people are happy with DVDs and will want instant access to it.